Friday, June 8, 2007

Let's Play Beat The Favorite: The So-Cal Exacta

Every handicappers favorite game: Beat the favorite.

Curlin has to be feared and respected. He's the best horse in the race (on paper) and has really done nothing wrong in his 5 career races. His performance in The Preakness shows why he will go off as the favorite tomorrow in the Belmont. He'll probably go off near his 6-5 morning line.

So...

With that said, Rags to Riches is the class of the field. Three straight Grade I wins. All class. She's done nothing wrong either. She may go off at 3-1 or maybe even 2-1 if people start to get real excited about her. She's bred for the distance. Todd Pletcher has to pick up a Triple Crown win sooner or later, why not with his best 3-year-old? She wins.

Tiago seems to be improving and if Mike Smith keeps him close and keeps his head in the game, he'll be flying late in the stretch when half the horses start running backwards. He might go off around 8-1.

Let's put Rags (Santa Anita Oaks winner) and Tiago (Santa Anita Derby winner) in a $1 exacta box and see what happens.

2 comments:

Unknown said...

Curlin will have a bounce after a monster performance but does it matter? There is no Birdstone in this race. Hard Spun had a slight bounce in the Preakness and still lit the board. He's holding up well and I expect him to light again.

1. Curlin
2. Hard Spun
3. Imawildandcrazyguy
4. Tiago

The filly finished dead last.

Good luck to ya.

Rich said...

Nobody knew Birdstone was Birdstone until he won. This is a good field.